When Arrests Don't Stick: Evaluating Officer Effectiveness Through Prosecutorial Dismissals
Reconceptualizes police effectiveness by examining prosecutorial dismissal patterns as indicators of individual officer performance, shifting focus from departmental aggregates to the individual officer. Hierarchical logistic regression model with cases nested within officers; primary sample of 30,654 cases across 227 officers from a Florida prosecutor's office (2017–2018).
Methods: Two-stage sequential design — (1) whether arrests are filed for prosecution, (2) among declined cases, whether non-filing was for evidentiary reasons. Random intercepts capture officer baseline non-filing rates; random slopes allow defendant-race effects to vary across officers.
Expected defense: Summer 2026.